Ignitis Group announces an ambitious Strategic Plan 2024–2027 to double the green capacities with major investments

Date
15 May 2024
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  • Investments: EUR 3.0–4.0 billion over the 2024–2027 period, an increase of around EUR 1 billion over the strategic period. 

  • The majority of investments (EUR 1.8–2.4 billion) will be directed towards doubling the Green Capacities (formerly known as Green Generation) portfolio and building new capacity projects that start operating after 2027.

  • 1/3 of the investments will be used to expand the electricity distribution network.

  • The 3M 2024 period was marked with continued Green Capacities Portfolio growth. 

AB “Ignitis grupė” (Ignitis Group), a renewables-focused integrated utility, is accelerating its investments and plans to double its Green Capacities by 2027. Building on the ongoing energy transition, the Group aims to deliver the benefits of renewable energy to its customers in the Baltics and Poland.

The company announced a Strategic Plan 2024–2027 with an emphasis on further investment growth, focused on development of green generation and green flexibility capacities as well as expansion of the distribution network to enable green transition and cope with the increasing electrification of various sectors. 

“We are at the forefront of a historic transition of the energy sectors in our home markets and a significant driving force behind these changes. While taking advantage of any emerging opportunities, we also remain committed to our purpose to create a 100% green and secure energy ecosystem for current and future generations. In line with our strategy, we are steadily expanding our Green Capacities, which are the main enablers of a climate-neutral energy system,” says Darius Maikštėnas, CEO of Ignitis Group.

The key highlight of the strategic plan is the significant increase in investments planned for the 2024–2027 period. By 2027, the total investments should reach EUR 3.0–4.0 billion, which is an increase of around EUR 1 billion compared to the previous 4-year strategic period. 

61% or EUR 1.1–1.3 billion of the investments will be dedicated to expanding the green generation and green flexibility technologies. The remaining 33% (or EUR 1.1–1.3 billion) will be directed towards developing the electricity distribution network in Lithuania.

The Group is targeting to deliver 4–5 GW of installed Green Capacities by 2030, focusing on the green generation and green flexibility technologies, including onshore and offshore wind, battery energy storage system (BESS), pumped-storage hydro and power-to-X. 

Currently, the Group’s Green Capacities portfolio amounts to 7.4 GW with 2.9 GW already secured. By 2027, Ignitis Group aims to achieve a total installed capacity of 2.4–2.6 GW, representing a two-fold increase from 1.3 GW in 2023. 

A major component of this growth will be related to developing onshore wind farms across the Baltics and Poland, targeting a capacity of at least 700 MW by 2027. 

The Group also plans to continue developing complementary technologies, including solar, where they add value. The target is reaching a total installed solar capacity of around 400 MW by 2027.

To meet these targets, Ignitis Group is expanding its renewable energy branch and is expecting to increase the number of employees at Ignitis Renewables 3.5 times by 2027.

The rapid expansion of installed renewable capacity drives the need for green flexibility solutions. Therefore, the Group is implementing a pumped-storage hydro expansion project in Kruonis (Lithuania), which should be completed by 2026, adding 110 MW to the current 900 MW. The Group is also targeting commercial-scale batteries by 2027 and implement a green hydrogen and e-fuel production pilot project. 

The Group is ready to connect the growing number of new customers to the distribution network and further expand the capacity of Lithuania’s electricity distribution network to enable green transition and to meet the increasing electrification-related demand.  

By growing its customer portfolio and focusing on supplying the green electricity, the Group expects to significantly increase the amount of supplied electricity, from 6.7 TWh in 2023 to 9.0–11.0 TWh by 2027. Building a leading EV charging network in the Baltics and expanding across public, commercial and home charging segments. EV network will become a significant offtaker of green electricity in the future.

The main Ignitis Group’s sustainability goal is reducing the carbon intensity of its scope 1 & 2 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 20–40% by 2027 (from the 2023 baseline). The decarbonisation pathway, which is aligned with the Group’s business ambitions, will be achieved by expanding the green generation and green flexibility capacities and increasing the use of the green electricity generated by the Group in its operations.

The increasing supply of electricity generated from renewable energy sources will allow the Group’s customers to reduce their carbon footprint. The company expects 30% of the electricity it supplies to originate from renewable energy sources by 2027 (17% in 2023).

According to its strategic plan, the Group’s adjusted EBITDA in 2027 should be around EUR 550–650 million compared to EUR 484.7 million in 2023. The average adjusted ROCE level in 2024–2027 is expected to reach 6.5–7.5%. The Group also expects to maintain its credit rating of ‘BBB’ and above over the 2024–2027 period.

The Group remains committed to at least 3% annual dividend growth, representing a 7.3–8.0% implied dividend yield in 2024–2027.

The Group approved the long-term objectives and performance targets for the 2024–2027 period that determine a long-term variable part of remuneration for key executives. Details of the long-term incentive plan objectives are available in the Strategic Plan annexes and online (link).

Ignitis Group reports strong results in 3M 2024 with continued Green Capacities portfolio growth

Ignitis Group publishes its first three months 2024 interim report, which is attached to this notice, and announces that the Group’s adjusted EBITDA amounted to EUR 181.7 million (+21.2% YoY). Growth was recorded across all business segments, except Reserve Capacities. Customers & Solutions segment electricity B2C activities continued to be loss-making (EUR -8.2 million). The Green Capacities segment remains the largest contributor with a 42.4% share of the Group’s total adjusted EBITDA. 

The Group’s investments grew by 73.4% YoY to EUR 209.5 million. Two thirds of the total investments were directed towards the Green Capacities segment, 90.5% – in Lithuania. The investments into Green Capacities have tripled and reached EUR 138.9 million, with the majority directed towards new onshore wind farms.

In 3M 2024, Ignitis Group increased its Green Capacities portfolio to 7.4 GW (from 7.1 GW) and installed capacity to 1.4 GW (from 1.3 GW). The secured capacity stood at 2.9 GW. 

In Networks, the total number of installed smart meters has exceeded 836 thousand.

In Customers & Solutions, the Group continues to expand the EV charging network in the Baltics, with multiple locations secured for the installation of 67 EV charging points.

Key financial indicators (APM1)

EUR, millions

3M 2024

3M 2023

Change

Adjusted EBITDA 

181.7

149.9

21.2%

Green Capacities2

77.1

70.0

10.1%

Networks

65.5

48.7

34.5%

Reserve Capacities

20.0

28.6

(30.1%)

Customers & Solutions

17.4

0.9

n/a

Other activities and eliminations2

1.7

1.7

-%

Adjusted EBITDA Margin 

28.1%

17.0%

11.1 pp

EBITDA 

188.9

195.3

(3.3%)

EBITDA Margin 

28.9%

21.0%

7.9 pp

Adjusted Net Profit

112.6

88.7

26.9%

Net Profit 

118.7

127.2

(6.7%)

Net Profit Margin

18.2%

13.7%

4.5 pp

Investments

209.5

120.8

73.4%

Green Capacities2

138.9

46.2

200.6%

Networks

63.7

71.6

(11.0%)

Reserve Capacities

0.2

0.3

(33.3%)

Customers & Solutions

2.6

0.6

333.3%

Other activities and eliminations2

4.1

2.1

95.2%

FFO 

169.5

185.3

(8.5%)

FCF 

5.0

208.0

(97.6%)

Adjusted ROE LTM

14.2%

13.9%

0.3 pp

ROE LTM

14.2%

18.4%

(4.2 pp)

Adjusted ROCE LTM

11.1%

12.1%

(1.0 pp)

ROCE LTM

10.7%

16.7%

(6.0 pp)

Basic earnings per share 

1.64

1.76

(6.8%) 

 

31 Mar 2024

31 Dec 2023

Change

Net Debt 

1,287.8

1,317.5

(2.3%)

Net Working Capital 

144.4

175.2

(17.6%)

Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDA LTM, times 

2.49

2.72

(8.5%)

FFO LTM/Net Debt 

28.9%

29.4%

(0.5 pp)

1 All, except Net profit, are Alternative Performance Measures (APMs). Definitions and formulas of the financial indicators are available on our website.

2 Other activities and eliminations – includes consolidation adjustments, related-party transactions, and the financial results of the parent company.

3 Previously – Green Generation. 
 

The earnings call

In relation to the announcement of the Strategic Plan 2024–2027 and of the first three months 2024 interim report, an earnings call will be held on Wednesday, 15 May 2024, at 1:00 pm Vilnius / 11:00 am London time. 

To join the earnings call, please register at:  
https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/go/Ignitis3M2024resultsandstrategicplan2024-2027/ 

It will be also possible to join the earnings call by phone. To access the dial-in details, please register here. After completing the registration, you will receive dial-in details on screen and via email. You will be able to dial in using the provided numbers and the unique pin or by selecting ‘Call me’ option and providing your phone details for the system to reach you automatically as the earnings call starts. 

All questions can be directed in advance to the Group’s investor relations team after registering for the earnings call or live, during the call. 

Presentation slides will be available prior to the call:  

https://ignitisgrupe.lt/en/reports-and-presentations  

The interim report, including the fact sheet (in Excel), will be available for download at:  

https://ignitisgrupe.lt/en/reports-and-presentations  

Strategic Plan 2024–2027 is available on our website:  

https://ignitisgrupe.lt/en/strategy